Only a fool would attempt to predict three-deep 40 competitions consisting of many of the best athletes in the world competing head-to-head. That is, unless the fool was confident he could rewrite his original post to make himself look like a genius to anyone who didn't read it the first time! And yes, these are my picks for the USATF Pick-n-Win Challenge, too.
I'm not going to pretend that I know enough to make genuine predictions about most of the events. For as much as I enjoy watching all the events, I really only follow the distances. So you can bet those will be 100% accurate. As for the other events, honestly, I barely recognized one name in some of the entrants lists. So yeah. On that note, my predictions for the US Olympic Trials, starting today!
100m - My only solid prediction here is that there will be more TV time spent covering both of these races (which add up to a grand total of roughly 21 seconds) than the 10,000 meters. And that saddens me.
1. Tyson Gay 2. Xavier Carter 3. Walter Dix
1. Angela Williams 2. Lauryn Williams 3. Torri Edwards (4. Allyson Felix, because she's always fourth in the 100.)
200m - There's really only one woman in the 200 meters these days, but that doesn't mean Allyson Felix will win it. Oh wait. Yes it does. Wallace Spearmon will run a weak turn but still make the team. And because of that he won't learn a thing and he'll miss the medal stand in Beijing. Oh well.
1. Xavier Carter 2. Tyson Gay 3. Wallace Spearmon
1. Allyson Felix 2. Muna Lee 3. Natasha Hastings
400m - This might be the most anticipated race of the meet, with Merritt already having beaten Wariner once this year. You know what, he'll do it again. Booyah. On the women's side, I predict a blanket finish for second and third with someone missing out on the Olympics by .001 seconds. That person will undergo therapy sessions with Gwen Torrance.
1. LaShawn Merritt 2. Jeremy Wariner 3. Angelo Taylor
1. Sanya Richards 2. Monique Henderson 3. Mary Wineberg
800m - There will be a lot of hype about Andrew Wheating and Jacob Hernandez, but experience is key in the 800. I'm not even sure if half the guys here will run, since they're entered in the 1500 meters, too. My hands are officially thrown in the air. Though I do see Chanelle Price sneaking onto the team. What's that? I didn't just say something about experience being key...did I?
1. Khadevis Robinson 2. Nick Symmonds 3. Duane Solomon
1. Alysia Johnson 2. Hazel Clark 3. Chanelle Price
1500m - The race I'm looking forward to the most. I absolutely love my picks for the men's race, where I honestly see my good friend Jon Rankin making the Olympic Team. On the women's side, Rowbury's unstoppable. After that I don't know.
1. Bernard Lagat 2. Jon Rankin 3. Lopez Lomong (Bonus: 4. Leonel Manzano 5. Alan Webb -- yeah, I did just predict that.)
1. Shannon Rowbury 2. Christin-Wurth Thomas 3. Carrie Tollefson
5000m - Bernard Lagat will take this race in the last 100 meters, but Matt Tegenkamp and Chris Solinsky will inspire large numbers of distance runners to flock to Wisconsin when they make the team. Adam Goucher will be going to Beijing, but as a husband and spectator. On the women's side, Shalane Flanagan will be outkicked by Lauren Fleshman, who will give all of the credit to other people.
1. Bernard Lagat 2. Matt Tegenkamp 3. Chris Solinsky
1. Lauren Fleshman 2. Shalane Flanagan 3. Jen Rhines
10,000m - The first final of the Trials will prove to be a great battle. American Record holder Shalane Flanagan versus World bronze medalist Kara Goucher. Flanagan takes it. On the men's side, Abdi runs away with 2k to go. Dathan Ritzenhein takes second running the only pressure-free race in the field, and Meb Keflezighi runs like the champ he is to get third. Bonus: 4th place Jorge Torres is an Olympian when former teammate Ritz opts to run marathon. Ritz demands his first-born in exchange.
1. Abdi Abdirahman 2. Dathan Ritzenhein 3. Meb Keflezighi 4. Jorge Torres
1. Shalane Flanagan 2. Kara Goucher 3. Amy Rudolph
3,000m steeple - This will be a Colorado Alum domination as Slattery and Barringer will run away with the titles. Even more impressive is my prediction of 3 separate falls in the combined races. That's right, not three people falling. People falling at 3 distinct times in the races. Watching the steeple is like watching NASCAR for me.
1. Steve Slattery 2. Kyle Alcorn 3. Anthony Famiglietti
1. Jenny Barringer 2. Anna Willard 3. The fast Anderson
Bonus prediction: 3 falls (you read it here first)
100/110m hurdles - Love the Bruin representation here. Joanna Hayes cannot be stopped, though if she could be stopped, it would be by Lolo Jones, who commented on my blog thus making her super cool. As much as I'd like to see Michelle Perry make the team, I haven't seen any results for her so I'm going with Damu Cherry in third. On the guys side, Moore beats Trammell and then says "Yeah. Yeah. Yeah boy. Yeah." Bonus prediction: A total of 5 false starts between both finals. No more, no less.
1. Anwar Moore 2. Terrence Trammell 3. Aries Merritt
1. Joanna Hayes 2. Lolo Jones 3. Damu Cherry
Bonus Prediction: 5 false starts between the two finals
400m hurdles - They say this may be the toughest race in track. For everyone but Angelo Taylor, that is. And maybe Kerron Clement. As always, Brandon Johnson leads through 200, before the race does get hard for him. I also predict Orentheus Hutchinson's name gets said a lot, because I'd say it a lot if I were an announcer. Heck, I'm gonna say it a lot anyway. On the women's side, Demus regains her crown, but the Bruins' Leach surprises and takes third.
1. Angelo Taylor 2. Kerron Clement 3. Bershawn Jackson
1. Lashinda Demus 2. Tiffany Ross-Williams 3. Nicole Leach
20,000m race walk - I love this because it's the only track race that I not only have never actually seen in person, I've never heard of any of the competitors either. It's like that race that the rest of the world does but America just kind of does. It's the soccer of track and field. I'm just going to pick at random and hope.
1. John Nunn (won't be weighed down by vowels) 2. Phillip Dunn (sounds like Nunn) 3. Stephen Quirke ('nuff said)
1. Margaret Ditchburn (love it) 2. Joanne Dow (let's hope oil prices haven't decreased her strength, too) 3. Heidi Hauch (when in doubt, go Scandinavian)
High Jump - This is probably the most beautiful event in track and field. I love watching this. I don't know anything about the people competing in it, but I love watching it. I'm gonna go with a blonde girl and a black guy. I hope my picks reflect that.
1. Matt Carter 2. Ivan Diggs 3. Tora Harris (Tora means "tiger" in Japanese! Grrrrr.)
1. Chaunte Howard 2. Tisha Waller 3. Amy Acuff
Pole Vault - Not the most beautiful event, but the most amazing. Ummm...that's all I have to say.
1. Brad Walker 2. Nick Hysong 3. Tommy Skipper
1. Jenn Stuczynski 2. Jillian Schwartz 3. Chelsea Johnson
Long Jump - If I could jump like these guys I'd live near more creeks and rivers. Then I'd taunt people and get them to chase me. Then I'd escape by bounding over to the other side. But that's just me.
1. Dwight Phillips 2. Walter Davis 3. Tone Belt (how great is that name?)
1. Brianna Glenn 2. Jenny Adams 3. Tisifenee Taylor (again, how great?)
[Editor's Note: Bryan obviously doesn't know what he's talking about in the field events, so at the request of his wife to "stop blogging and sweep the living room floor" we're going to end the commentary and just give you the predictions. They're going to be wrong anyway.]
Triple Jump - 1. Walter Davis 2. Rafeeq Curry 3. Dexter Jules
1. Colleen Scott 2. Renee Williams 3. Sheena Gordon
Discus - 1. Lance Brooks 2. Ian Waltz 3. John Godina
1. Suzy Powell 2. Aretha Thurmond 3. D'Andra Carter
Hammer - (Hey, don't tell my wife I'm writing this, but did you know there are three Brittanys and a Britney throwing the hammer? Crazy!)
1. Boldizsar Kocsor 2. Jacob Dunkleberger 3. AG Kruger
1. Melissa Myerscough 2. one of the Brittanys 3. Cari Soong
Javelin - 1. Breaux Greer 2. Brian Chaput 3. Sean Furey
1. Dana Pounds 2. Ruby Radocaj 3. Anna Raynor
Decathlon/Heptathlon - 1. Brian Clay 2. Tom Pappas 3. Joe Detmer
1. Diana Pickler 2. Ryanne DuPree 3. Hyleas Fountain (my last great name choice1)
For any of you playing in the USATF fantasy game, my first place pick is the same. So don't copy me. I plan on dominating this time.